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NWS Area Weather Forecast Discussion
County Warning Area [CWA]: PBZ
Regional NWS Weather Office: Pittsburgh, PA

056
FXUS61 KPBZ 250701
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
301 AM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather is expected under high pressure through Tuesday.
Rain chances return with a Wednesday cold front. Dry and hot
weather is expected by late week under building high pressure.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Low level moisture under a temperature inversion should continue
to result in patchy stratus this morning. The clouds should
decrease this morning as dry air mixes down and high pressure
builds across the area. Highs just below average are expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure should maintain dry weather through Tuesday as it
moves E. Shower and thunderstorm chances should return Tuesday
night as a shortwave and associated sfc warm front cross the
area. The main shortwave and its associated sfc low pressure
and cold front is expected to track across the Great Lakes and
OH Valley region Wed, with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Shear and instability profiles indicate a few strong storms are
possible.

POPs should decrease Wednesday night as the front exits.
Temperatures should average near to just above seasonal levels.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A large area of high pressure is expected to build across the
Eastern CONUS through the period. Dry weather and increasingly
hot temperatures are expected as 500 mb heights build, with
most locations in the low-mid 90s for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Patchy stratus is expected tonight with low level moisture in
place. Ports north of PIT are the more likely to experience IFR
conditions, but confidence is sufficient for a TAF inclusion at
all ports through the peri-dawn hours.

Building high pressure will ensure improvement to VFR as Monday
progresses.

OUTLOOK...
The next chc for general restrictions is expected with mid week
low pressure.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather